South Africa -Weeklikse Landbou Nuusoorsig -  Weekly Agriculture News Summary  18th March 2026

South Africa -Weeklikse Landbou Nuusoorsig - Weekly Agriculture News Summary 18th March 2026

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South Africa's agricultural sector in mid-March 2026 shows a mixed but resilient picture, with notable developments in exports, production forecasts, market disruptions, and wildlife policy.The Red Meat Industry Services (RMIS), led by CEO Dewald Olivier (in an interview with Alani Janeke), is actively exploring export opportunities for red meat to seven additional countries. This includes potential access even for meat from animals achieving FMD-free status through vaccination (rather than no vaccination). Dr. Gerhard Neethling of the Red Meat Abattoir Association (RMAA) has been contracted to investigate these markets, focusing on adapting health certificates, quarantine protocols for vaccinated or recovered animals, and shifting away from outdated views that non-vaccinated FMD-free status is inherently superior.Grain production faces a slight downturn: The Crop Estimates Committee's February 2026 forecast projects commercial maize at 16.13 million tons for the 2026 harvest — a 3.15% decline (524,000 tons less) from 16.65 million tons last season, despite a 4.6% increase in planted area to over 2.7 million hectares. This includes 8.51 million tons of white maize (slight rise) and 7.62 million tons of yellow maize (down ~7%), due to uneven yields.Fresh produce and livestock exports are under pressure from the escalating US-Israel-Iran war (ongoing since late February 2026), which has disrupted shipping via the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf ports.
South African sheep meat exports surged 84.6% to 11,400 tonnes in 2024, with the Middle East taking 93% (key markets: UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan). Jordan is a growing outlet for premium Karoo lamb, but time-sensitive shipments (requiring arrival within 96 hours of slaughter) face severe delays, backlogs, and rerouting costs (e.g., charters to Amman at up to $5/kg vs. normal $2–2.50/kg). Products exceeding the window are redirected locally, reducing revenue.Wildlife and tourism face ethical scrutiny: A March 2026 poll by World Animal Protection and Blood Lions (Savanta, 2,528 respondents across South Africa, UK, US, Netherlands, Germany) shows strong opposition to reversing the 2021 phase-out of commercial captive lion breeding. 77% support the decision; 70% of international tourists from key markets would avoid or delay visits if breeding for profit (canned hunting, cub petting, bone exports) continues, risking reputational damage, tourism losses (~860,000 visitors and ~66,000 jobs at stake), and economic harm. Domestic respondents echo this: 66% see it as unethical, 57% believe banning it boosts appeal. Progress has been slow amid ministerial changes (e.g., Willem Aucamp replacing Dion George), raising rollback fears, but advocates urge prioritizing ethical tourism and a time-bound phase-out.Overall, while export diversification and strong prior performance offer resilience, geopolitical shocks, disease risks (e.g., FMD), weather variability, and ethical pressures create uncertainty across grains, red meat, fresh produce, and wildlife-related sectors.
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South Africa -Weeklikse Landbou Nuusoorsig - Weekly Agriculture News Summary11 th March 2026

International News

hese reflect ongoing volatility from the US-Israel-Iran war, commodity rallies, supply disruptions, fertilizer crises, USDA WASDE updates, climate impacts, and emerging tech/sustainability shifts (drawn from recent reports, USDA data, FAO insights, and market analyses).
  1. Middle East War Drives Global Fertilizer Crisis as Strait of Hormuz Closure Halts 30-40% of Trade Flows
  2. USDA March 2026 WASDE: World Corn Ending Stocks Rise to 292.8 MMT, Above Expectations Amid Geopolitical Risks
  3. Soybean and Grain Futures Surge on Broad Commodity Rally Triggered by Iran Conflict and Oil Spikes
  4. Farmers Rush to Sell Stored Corn and Soy as Prices Jump 6%+ from Pre-War Levels
  5. Global Coarse Grain Production Forecast Up 2.7 MMT to 1.593 Billion Tons in 2025/26
  6. Argentina Soybean Yield Cut Due to Insufficient Rainfall; Production Down 1% Month-on-Month
  7. Brazil Corn Area and Production Increase on Larger First Crop, Despite Safrinha Planting Delays
  8. Wheat Production Rises in Ukraine and Kazakhstan, Offsetting Australian Decline
  9. Fertilizer Prices Surge Sharply at Import Locations Amid Disrupted Gulf Supplies
  10. U.S. Farmers Face Higher Input Costs as War Blocks Key Fertilizer Routes
  11. FAO Triannual Report (March 2026): 41 Countries Require External Food Assistance, 31 in Africa
  12. FAO Raises Global Cereal Production Forecast to Record 3.029 Billion Tons for 2025
  13. World Food Prices Rebound in February After Five-Month Decline, Driven by Cereals and Oils
  14. Extreme Weather in 2025 Leaves Major Toll on Global Agriculture Yields
  15. Precision Agriculture Adoption Accelerates: Climate Tech Cuts Fertilizer Use 36-60% While Maintaining Yields
  16. Sustainable Agriculture Market Projected to Reach USD 59.3 Billion by 2034 at 10.7% CAGR
  17. Climate Change Exposes Crops to More Droughts, Floods, and Pests; Adaptation Urgent
  18. Global Agricultural Trade Faces Digital Transformation; 60%+ Expected Via Platforms by 2026
  19. World Agri-Tech Innovation Summit (March 17-18, 2026, San Francisco) Focuses on Sustainability and Resilience
  20. Farmer Mac Hosts Investor Day (March 18, 2026) to Discuss Rural Infrastructure and Ag Financing
  21. U.S. Soybean Farmers Brace for Tough 2026 Amid South American Competition and Acreage Shifts
  22. Midwest Growers Capitalize on Rally to Sell Stored Crops, Lifting Margins
  23. Argentine Sunflowerseed Production Revised Up 27% on Larger Area
  24. Malaysian Palm Oil Futures Gain on Weaker Ringgit and Firm Edible Oils
  25. U.S. Cattle Futures Near Two-Month Lows Amid Cash Trading Pressure
  26. Biofuels Policy and Global Competition Remain Wild Cards for 2026 Farm Income
  27. USDA Ag Outlook: Moderating Costs and Slightly Higher Crop Prices Ahead, But Headwinds Persist
  28. Ag Industry Stagflation Continues into 2026 with Flat-to-Rising Input Prices
  29. China's Economy Challenges Persist, Impacting Global Soy Demand
  30. Protein Alternatives Gain Traction for Net Zero, Land Management, and Sustainability
  31. Wheat Becomes Glyphosate Lightning Rod in Ongoing Debates
  32. Many Dairy Farms Now "Vaccinated Islands" Amid Disease Pressures
  33. Artificial Intelligence in Agriculture Advances for Precision and Efficiency
  34. Fears Mount Over Provincial Budgets Insufficient for Foot-and-Mouth Control
  35. Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment Application to Family Farming Under Review
  36. Eastern Cape Pushes Market Access and Growth for Emerging Farmers
  37. Faster Market Access Tops Priority List for Global Agriculture
  38. SA Secures New Export Market for Table Grapes in South Korea
  39. Global Conflict Sends Crop Prices Higher, But Fertilizer Crisis Looms
  40. Iran War Holds Up Fertilizer Supply Chain, Driving Costs for Spring Planting
  41. Crude & Corn in Lockstep: Grain Trade Offers "Lesson in Humility"
  42. Soybeans, Grains Drop as Trump Delays China Trip Amid Strait Pressure
  43. U.S. Supreme Court Rules Trump Exceeded Authority on Sweeping Tariffs
  44. USDA and Department of War Expand Coordination on Ag as National Security Issue
  45. Cargill Pauses Soybean Exports from Brazil to China Over Compliance Issues
  46. Palm Oil Exports Surge in Indonesia Amid Biodiesel Mandate
  47. Global Ag Trade Volatility Persists with Balanced Risks for 2026 Prices
  48. 7 Powerful Trends Shaping 2026: Digital Platforms, Traceability, and Sustainability Dominate
  49. FAO Warns of Acute Food Insecurity in 41 Countries Amid Conflict and Weather Shocks
  50. Conference Calls and Market Updates Highlight Farmer Experimentation, Soil Biology, and War-Driven Volatility
These headlines capture the dominant themes: geopolitical disruptions (especially the Iran conflict), commodity rallies tied to supply fears, fertilizer/energy crises, USDA/FAO forecasts, climate adaptation, tech innovation, and regional policy/economic shifts. Markets remain highly volatile as of mid-March 2026.
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TAKE NOTE

South Africa sources a significant portion of its crude oil from Nigeria and other non-Middle Eastern suppliers, and the country also produces a substantial amount of synthetic fuel domestically, which helps reduce vulnerability to disruptions in the Gulf region.Key facts:
  • Sasol produces around 51 million barrels of synthetic fuel per year (equivalent to about 8.1 billion litres), covering roughly 27% of South Africa's total annual fuel consumption.
  • The Astron Energy refinery in Cape Town primarily processes West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, which is sourced from the Americas rather than the Middle East, and produces approximately 4.5 billion litres of fuel annually.
Recent reports of oil tankers queuing in St Helena Bay to dock at Saldanha Bay are accurate but do not indicate a national fuel shortage or crisis caused by the Middle East conflict. These vessels are likely waiting for berthing slots, discharging cargo, or undergoing routine operations at the port, which handles various petroleum products and bulk commodities.Claims suggesting widespread fuel supply issues due to the Iran-US-Israel war are overstated or misinformed in the South African context. While global oil prices have risen sharply and shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, South Africa's fuel supply chain benefits from:
  • Domestic synthetic production via Sasol.
  • Imports from West Africa (Nigeria is a key supplier).
  • Alternative crude sources for refineries like Astron.
There is no current evidence of acute shortages or emergency rationing in South Africa as of mid-March 2026. Any queuing at Saldanha is a logistical matter rather than a sign of a broader supply crisis. The situation remains under monitoring by the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy, but the combination of local production and diversified import sources continues to provide a buffer against Middle East disruptions.

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly risks of escalation involving Iran and potential disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, are already pushing up global agricultural supply chain costs as of mid-March 2026.

Suid-Afrika se suiwelbedryf waarsku dat nuwe regulasies wat met die uitbreking van bek-en-klouseer verband hou, tot melktekorte en werkverliese kan lei. Die Verbruikersgoedereraad van Suid-Afrika sê beperkings op suiweluitvoere en -verwerking kan maatskappye dwing om op te hou om melk van sommige boere te koop.

The Iran war is poised to make your next Christmas dinner noticeably more expensive and could spark a renewed cost-of-living crisis, serving as the latest in a series of wake-up calls—including Covid and Russia's invasion of Ukraine—highlighting the urgent need for a more resilient global food system

Die DA dring aan op 'n parlementêre debat oor sy voorgestelde Wetsontwerp op Ekonomiese Insluiting vir Almal, wat daarop gemik is om swart ekonomiese bemagtiging te vervang met 'n armoede-gebaseerde model.

South African agriculture stands out as a vital economic driver, blending strong entrepreneurship, export opportunities, and job creation in rural and peri-urban areas, while supporting a wide ecosystem of businesses from farmers and transporters to equipment suppliers and retailers.

Minister Pemmy Majodina se voorstel mik om strenger vereistes vir die plasing, boor en bestuur van boorgate in te stel, data oor grondwaterverbruik te verbeter en volhoubare benutting te verseker.

The ongoing US and Israel attacks on Iran, now in their second week as of mid-March 2026, are primarily driving up global freight rates rather than directly bottlenecking major grain flows through the Suez Canal or Strait of Hormuz, according to Stephen Nicholson, Rabobank's global sector strategist for grains, oilseeds, and farm inputs, in an interview with World Grain.

Die afgelope twee seisoene in Suid-Afrikaanse landbou word gekenmerk deur uiterstes: die 2023/2024-seisoen het gely onder 'n ernstige midsomerdroogte wat groot oesverliese (sowat 3,6 miljoen ton minder mielies) veroorsaak het ondanks gunstige beginvoorwaardes, terwyl die 2024/2025-seisoen 'n rekordopbrengsjaar vir geelmielies opgelewer het danksy buitengewone reënval in Februarie en Maart, ,,,,,
The escalating Middle East conflict — involving Iran, the United States, and Israel, with Iranian missile and drone retaliations targeting Gulf states including the UAE — is severely disrupting South African lamb exports to Jordan, threatening a rapidly growing market.

Nagenoeg 170-duisend dosisse entstof het reeds in die provinsie aangekom wat versprei is in brandpuntgebiede soos George, Mosselbaai en Kaapstad. Agri Wes-Kaap se uitvoerende hoof, Jannie Strydom, sê vergeleke met ander provinsies in die land, kan die Wes-Kaap dankbaar wees dat daar slegs 25 gevalle aangemeld is, waarvan 6 positief bevestig is.

Farmers are facing elevated costs ahead of the 2026-27 winter crop season (planting soon) and the subsequent summer crop season (starting October 2026), primarily due to uncertainty over potential supply constraints linked to ongoing geopolitical tensions — particularly the conflict in the Middle East involving Iran, the United States, and Israel.

Dit word toenemend belangrik om die impak van klimaat op die ekonomie te verstaan, aangesien veranderende weerpatrone direk sleutelsektore soos landbou, watervoorsiening, energieproduksie en toerisme raak. Klimaatsgebeurtenisse soos droogtes, vloede en stygende temperature kan oesopbrengste verminder, infrastruktuur beskadig en voorsieningskettings ontwrig, wat uiteindelik ekonomiese groei vertraag en owerheidsbesteding aan rampreaksie en -herstel verhoog.

The world's largest agricultural companies, such as Bayer, Syngenta, BASF, and Corteva Agriscience, are indeed investing heavily in biological and organic agricultural products (biologicals), including biopesticides, biostimulants, and biofertilizers.

Die minister van Landbou, John Steenhuisen, sê die mikbpunt is dat meer as 80-persent van die nasionale beeskudde, teen die einde van die jaar ingeënt sal wees teen bek-en-klouseer. Steenhuisen het vandag 'n inentingsveldtog in Limpopo gelei, waar hy sê 60-persent van die kommunale kudde en 40-persent van die kommersiële kudde, reeds ingeënt is.

Global crises have a way of reshaping trade routes and rewriting economic destinies. For centuries, the Cape of Good Hope was one of the most important maritime passages in the world.
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Independent agricultural meteorologist Johan van den Berg forecasts that rainfall will continue across the central, northern, and north-eastern parts of South Africa until approximately the end of March 2026. A weakening La Niña pattern remains present and could still support favourable short-term rain into April, after which precipitation is expected to decrease as the summer season ends and La Niña's influence fades more rapidly.Heavy rain and flooding occurred in northern and north-eastern Limpopo during the week of 9–15 March, with lighter falls over Mpumalanga, Gauteng, northern Free State, and eastern North West. Van den Berg notes that this late-season rain will benefit summer grain crops in their final growth stages, helping to improve grain fill and yields, particularly for late-planted areas. However, in parts of Mpumalanga, the rain arrived too late after prolonged drought had already caused permanent damage to crops.An exceptional feature of recent weather has been extreme heat, mainly in the Western Cape but also extending into parts of the Eastern and Northern Cape. Maximum temperatures reached record highs, exceeding 45°C in the West Coast and adjacent interior regions, with values above 35°C persisting since around 8 March. This heat, driven by a near-stationary high-pressure system over the western and south-western parts of the country, is expected to continue until late March (around 28 March in areas like the Paarl Winelands), with only brief cooler intervals. High temperatures will persist into the end of March across western Northern Cape and southern Namibia.

AMT

 

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

White maize

R 3 296,20

per Ton

2026-03-16

-0.57 %

R 3 315,00

Yellow maize

R 3 442,00

per Ton

2026-03-16

0.85 %

R 3 413,00

Soybeans

R 6 990,00

per Ton

2026-03-16

-1.27 %

R 7 080,00

Sunflower seed

R 9 290,00

per Ton

2026-03-16

-1.17 %

R 9 400,00

Wheat

R 6 019,60

per Ton

2026-03-16

0.02 %

R 6 018,20

Sorghum (IPP)

R 4 414,00

per Ton

2026-03-13

2.27 %

R 4 316,00

Groundnuts (IPP)

R 24 032,00

per Ton

2026-03-13

1.40 %

R 23 701,00

Cotton (IPP)

R 9 570,00

per Ton

2026-03-13

3.57 %

R 9 240,00

Soy Meal (US derived price)

R 11 149,00

per Ton

2026-03-13

-0.15 %

R 11 166,00

Chop

R 2 350,00

per Ton

2026-03-13

4.44 %

R 2 250,00

Lusern (Grade 1)

R 3 300,00

per Ton

2026-03-13

0.00 %

R 3 300,00

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Bananas

R 12,77

per Kg

2026-03-13

33.30 %

R 9,58

Apples

R 8,85

per Kg

2026-03-13

-13.57 %

R 10,24

Oranges

R 7,79

per Kg

2026-03-13

-17.04 %

R 9,39

Avocados

R 14,39

per Kg

2026-03-13

15.12 %

R 12,50

Grapes

R 20,89

per Kg

2026-03-13

-2.38 %

R 21,40

Mangos

R 14,11

per Kg

2026-03-13

8.71 %

R 12,98

Pears

R 9,21

per Kg

2026-03-13

9.25 %

R 8,43

Pineapples

R 14,16

per Kg

2026-03-13

10.88 %

R 12,77

Peaches

R 18,10

per Kg

2026-03-13

16.47 %

R 15,54

Lemons

R 7,71

per Kg

2026-03-13

-6.20 %

R 8,22

Nectarines

R 22,90

per Kg

2026-03-13

34.55 %

R 17,02

Naartjies (Mandarins)

R 11,65

per Kg

2026-03-13

37.54 %

R 8,47

Blueberries

R 283,74

per Kg

2026-03-13

-22.55 %

R 366,34

Grapefruits

R 9,30

per Kg

2026-03-13

-10.92 %

R 10,44

 

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Potatoes

R 43,88

per 10Kg

2026-03-13

-5.08 %

R 46,23

Tomatoes

R 10,32

per Kg

2026-03-13

-14.78 %

R 12,11

Carrots

R 6,43

per Kg

2026-03-13

19.07 %

R 5,40

Onions

R 81,64

per 10Kg

2026-03-13

28.51 %

R 63,53

Cabbage

R 3,28

per Kg

2026-03-13

-14.58 %

R 3,84

Garlic

R 41,61

per Kg

2026-03-13

-19.27 %

R 51,54

Spinach

R 4,74

per Kg

2026-03-13

-2.07 %

R 4,84

Sweet Potatoes

R 5,59

per Kg

2026-03-13

18.18 %

R 4,73

Peppers

R 17,06

per Kg

2026-03-13

-4.80 %

R 17,92

Chillies

R 11,90

per Kg

2026-03-13

23.70 %

R 9,62

Pumpkins

R 3,05

per Kg

2026-03-13

67.58 %

R 1,82

Mushrooms

R 90,91

per Kg

2026-03-13

15.41 %

R 78,77

Butternuts

R 5,04

per Kg

2026-03-13

7.92 %

R 4,67

Green beans

R 24,24

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.08 %

R 24,22

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Sheep A2/3

R 94,33

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.78 %

R 93,60

Feeder Lamb (Dual Purpose)

R 46,41

per Kg

2026-03-13

-2.03 %

R 47,37

Sheep AB2/3

R 82,50

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.86 %

R 81,80

Sheep B2/3

R 76,50

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.13 %

R 76,40

Sheep C2/3

R 74,44

per Kg

2026-03-13

1.42 %

R 73,40

Wool 20 micron - Non RWS

R 249,00

per Kg

2026-03-13

2.05 %

R 244,00

Wool 20 micron - RWS

R 258,00

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.00 %

R 258,00

Mohair - Ave Non RWS

R 405,48

per Kg

2026-03-06

6.39 %

R 381,13

 

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Beef A2/3

R 61,63

per Kg

2026-03-13

-0.28 %

R 61,80

Weaners (200-250kg)

R 41,71

per Kg

2026-03-13

2.63 %

R 40,64

Beef AB2/3

R 58,67

per Kg

2026-03-13

1.51 %

R 57,80

Beef B2/3

R 55,33

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.97 %

R 54,80

Beef C2/3

R 54,43

per Kg

2026-03-13

1.55 %

R 53,60

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Kids (under 30kg)

R 52,76

per kg

2026-03-13

-0.72 %

R 53,14

Medium (30-40kg)

R 52,05

per kg

2026-03-13

-1.77 %

R 52,99

Large (above 40kg)

R 40,45

per kg

2026-03-13

8.24 %

R 37,37

Ewes (Goats)

R 44,84

per kg

2026-03-13

5.16 %

R 42,64

 

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Poultry Frozen

R 35,51

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.45 %

R 35,35

Poultry fresh

R 39,85

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.53 %

R 39,64

Poultry IQF

R 35,50

per Kg

2026-03-13

0.00 %

R 35,50

Product Name

Price

Quantity Type

Date

Change

Previous Price

Pork Porkers

R 41,33

per Kg

2026-03-13

-0.70 %

R 41,62

Pork Baconers

R 40,81

per Kg

2026-03-13

-0.80 %

R 41,14

Pork Sausage

R 32,64

per Kg

2026-03-13

-0.15 %

R 32,69

     

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