Full Silos, Dry Skies: Why SADC's Record Maize Buffer May Not Outlast the 2026/27 El Nino
- Africa Continent
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Southern Africa heads into the second half of 2026 with an unusual luxury: full grain silos.
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Southern Africa heads into the second half of 2026 with an unusual luxury: full grain silos.
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Until now, African farmers navigating fertiliser shortages have mostly been dealing with logistics and procurement failures – frustrating, but manageable. What is coming for the 2026–2027 planting seasons is neither logistical nor manageable. It is structural, and it is of a different order entirely.
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Globally, agriculture faces mounting pressures. These are driven by climate change, land degradation, labour shortages, supply chain disruptions and the demand for food from a growing population.
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When Senegalese farmer Abou Sow first watched U.S. missiles strike Iran on social media, he had a sinking feeling it would soon affect agriculture in the West African nation. Since the war began on Feb. 28, fertilizer prices have risen by 40%.
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SADC is experiencing an unprecedented grain supercycle. South Africa has recorded its largest-ever single-country maize harvest, Zambia has achieved its highest recorded historical and Zimbabwe has secured its first maize surplus in three seasons





Hantaviruses are not new. They have circulated for decades in rodent populations, particularly in rats and mice.
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