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According to meteorology experts at South Africa’s University of Pretoria, rainfall extremes are becoming more probable in parts of the country.
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The return of El Niño this year has been forecast for the past few months. Now, a clear sign of its formation has been detected with satellite imagery.
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An unusually stubborn La Niña has ended after a three-year run and the tropical Pacific is in an Enso-neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña), according to the Geneva-based World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
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The latest monthly Seasonal Climate Watch issued last week by the South African Weather Service, which makes tentative five-month predictions, is chilling. The current one extends to August, with an outlook for wider potential trends beyond that.
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Global temperatures have already increased 1.1ºC above industrial temperatures and are now likely to reach 1.5ºC by 2040 or sooner.
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